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  $SPY The schedule/guideline I'm following through this week: Monday: Don't expect too much movement, likely a flat day because it is a bank holiday and bond trading is closed. Tuesday: Expect a low volume meltup, maybe hit that next target of SPY 585. Bank earnings may follow the bullish trend and be the excuse for the move to 585. 830am data shouldn't be too important for algos. Wednesday: Another low volume meltup, do we get 585 or end at 590 by EOD? The volatility may cool down enough here to start the $SVIX -> $UVIX exchange for greater volatility by EOW or last two weeks of October. Thursday: Green premarket, but retail sales, jobless claims, and manufacturing as the real trigger for algo-based volume to return after a relatively boring/flat or slightly green week. Could start green and rally to ATH then sell off, or wait till Friday for selling to begin. $NFLX AH may also be the trigger for Fri selling. Friday: Opex selling if p/c ratio...

  1.  Where is the Liquidity? To spot liquidity, you need to know which trend the market is following. In a downtrend = Liquidity is found on the UPPER SIDE of the chart In a uptrend = Liquidity is found on the LOWER SIDE of the chart 1.1  Where is the Liquidity? Liquidity rests at previous Highs in a downtrend. On HTF, Liquidity points will be at PDL, PDH, PWL and PWH 1.2  Where is the Liquidity? After a strong selling or buying level is formed, Liquidity will build accumulation around those areas. When a sweep in the price occurs, it targets the supply or demand zones, to provide the necessary Liquidity for the next move. 2.  Liquidity Sweep A liquidity sweep occurs when significant market players execute large-volume trades to trigger the activation of a cluster of pending buy or sell orders This action typically results in rapid price movements and targets what are known as liquidity zones. 2.1  Shift with Displacement A Shift indicates a potential reve...

 

A change in state of delivery is key to any entry model. Without it, there are no entries. How to identify a change in state of delivery (CISD) in 3 steps: (thread)

 

  When you think of Order Blocks, you see a pattern: Every Up Candle is a -OB Every Down Candle is a +OB Untrue. Because an Order Block (OB) serves as a frame of reference — indicating where price is likely to be drawn from or to. So there has to be a narrative behind the OB ...It’s not every Up Candle that is a -OB. ...It’s not every Down Candle that is a +OB. So, here’s how you pick the right ones: The down close candle(s) that raid sell-side liquidity. And tap into (or nest instead) a HTF support level (Discount Array) …Which becomes valid once we trade back through the OPENING PRICE of the down close candle Tip: If a gap forms directly after, it’s high probability Having picked the right Order Block by building a narrative behind it — gets us what we are looking for, a nice reaction... like this...

  1. Moving Average A moving average is a statistic that captures the average change in a data series over time There are 2 main types of moving averages that are commonly used: 1. Simple Moving Average (SMA) 2. Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.1 Moving Average The simple moving average is a lagging indicator because it's based on past price data. Combine SMA with other indicators and volume. To calculate a security’s 20-day SMA, the closing prices of the past 20 days would be added up, and then divided by 20. 1.2 Moving Average An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. 1.3 Moving Average The EMA functions by producing buy and sells signals based on the crossovers and divergences it plots against the historical average. EMA defines prices trends and momentum. You can use ...